Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 7

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday


	HSV Hamburg		Magdeburg

	1	X	2
	5.5	11	1.27
	4.6	11.5	1.33
	4.4	11	1.28
	3.79	7.92	1.44	Watch
	4.51	11.5	1.28
	4.2	11	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.5 ↑ (3.39)	10.65 ↑ (8.7)	1.32 ↓ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSV Hamburg
20.7%

Draw
8.8%

Magdeburg
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

10.7%

62%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

11%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSV Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSV Hamburg's form might have worsened.

Magdeburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magdeburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSV Hamburg than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSV Hamburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magdeburg than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Magdeburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Magdeburg will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:32

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Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 12 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 0.

Hamburg is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Magdeburg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Hamburg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Magdeburg is the team to beat.

We predict that Magdeburg will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Hamburg won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 441:487. (average 25.9:28.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Hamburg won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 227:231. (average 28.4:28.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSV Hamburg
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Elbflorenz - HSV Hamburg	47:46 OT ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
26.09.25	MT Melsungen - HSV Hamburg	32:28 ✺
19.09.25	HSV Hamburg - TBV Lemgo	35:35 ✺
13.09.25	THW Kiel - HSV Hamburg	27:25 ✺
07.09.25	HSV Hamburg - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTLW
- SC Magdeburg
Club World Championship Handball
02.10.25	Magdeburg - Al Ahly Cairo	32:23 ✺
30.09.25	Veszprém - Magdeburg	23:20 ✺
28.09.25	Magdeburg - Al-Sharjah	36:26 ✺
27.09.25	California Eagles - Magdeburg	20:50
EHF Champions League
25.09.25	Magdeburg - Wisła Płock	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
04.05.25	Magdeburg - HSV Hamburg	37:28
15.09.24	HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg	26:32
19.12.23	HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg	28:43
10.09.23	Magdeburg - HSV Hamburg	35:24
19.02.23	Magdeburg - HSV Hamburg	32:28
27.11.22	HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg	28:30
22.05.22	HSV Hamburg - Magdeburg	22:32

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