Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 6 May 2026, Wednesday

Location: Gigantium (Aalborg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DR 2, DR TV
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sporting TV
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3


	Aalborg		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	1.6	9	3.1	Watch
	1.53	9	2.95
	1.53	8.05	3.45
	1.5	8.5	3
	1.59	9.9	3.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.48)	8.89 ↓ (9.19)	3.14 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg
60%

Draw
10.5%

Sporting Lisbon
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.4%

10.2%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

9.8%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Aalborg - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:32

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Lineups


22. Antonsen R.	5. Alvarez C.
7. Arnoldsen T.	92. Aly M.
19. Bjornsen K.	3. Berlin E.
17. Blonz A.	22. Branquinho D.
14. Hangaard M.	6. Costa F.
1. Jacobsen N.	79. Costa M.
11. Jensen S.	19. Gassama M.
23. Juul B.	8. Gurri J.
21. Knorr J.	20. Kristensen A.
20. Moller F.	9. Martinez P.
25. Munk M.	44. Moga C.
3. Nilsson L.	2. Oliviera E.
12. Norsten F.	13. Rocha S.
8. Ronningen V.	93. Romero V.
5. Sagosen S.	7. Suarez N.
4. Wiesmach-Larsen P.	17. Thorkelsson O.

Preview

First leg result: 31-31. Second leg.

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

In this match, Aalborg is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Aalborg will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aalborg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 99:96. (average 33:32).

Including home match between the teams, Aalborg won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
02.05.26	Aalborg - Fredericia	36:26 ✺
EHF Champions League
29.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Aalborg	31:31 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
25.04.26	Skjern - Aalborg	31:34 ✺
18.04.26	GOG - Aalborg	34:36 ✺
11.04.26	Aalborg - Skjern	32:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WTWWW
- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
02.05.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	36:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
29.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Aalborg	31:31 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
24.04.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	28:40 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
18.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	42:28 ✺
15.04.26	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	37:40 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
29.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Aalborg	31:31
26.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Aalborg	35:33
24.09.25	Aalborg - Sporting Lisbon	35:30

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