Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	DR 2, DR TV
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Portugal	Sporting TV
Romania	Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2


	Sporting Lisbon		Aalborg

	1	X	2
	1.9	8.5	2.35	Watch
	1.9	8.75	2.35
	1.95	7.6	2.19
	2.1	7.08	2.24
	1.91	7.5	2.2
	2.07	9.05	2.23	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.93)	8.08 ↓ (9.15)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
47.2%

Draw
11.5%

Aalborg
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.3%

10.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4%

9.8%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Aalborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Sporting Lisbon - Aalborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sporting will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Aalborg will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Aalborg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:34

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Lineups


5. Alvarez C.	9. Anderson P.
92. Aly M.	22. Antonsen R.
22. Branquinho D.	7. Arnoldsen T.
6. Costa F.	19. Bjornsen K.
79. Costa M.	17. Blonz A.
19. Gassama M.	14. Hangaard M.
26. Graca F.	1. Jacobsen N.
8. Gurri J.	11. Jensen S.
20. Kristensen A.	23. Juul B.
9. Martinez P.	21. Knorr J.
44. Moga C.	20. Moller F.
2. Oliviera E.	25. Munk M.
13. Rocha S.	12. Norsten F.
93. Romero V.	8. Ronningen V.
7. Suarez N.	5. Sagosen S.
17. Thorkelsson O.	4. Wiesmach-Larsen P.

Preview

First leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 65:68. (average 32.5:34).

Including home match between the teams, Sporting won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:33.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
24.04.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	28:40 ✺
Taca de Portugal Handball
18.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Marítimo	42:28 ✺
15.04.26	Marítimo - Sporting Lisbon	37:40 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
12.04.26	Sporting Lisbon - Águas Santas	36:29 ✺
EHF Champions League
09.04.26	Wisła Płock - Sporting Lisbon	28:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WWWWL
- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
25.04.26	Skjern - Aalborg	31:34 ✺
18.04.26	GOG - Aalborg	34:36 ✺
11.04.26	Aalborg - Skjern	32:23 ✺
04.04.26	Fredericia - Aalborg	41:36 ✺
28.03.26	Aalborg - Ringsted	40:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
26.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Aalborg	35:33
24.09.25	Aalborg - Sporting Lisbon	35:30

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