Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 8

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Aalborg		THW Kiel

	1	X	2
	1.52	8.5	3.5	Watch
	1.36	10	4.2
	1.44	9.75	3.55	Watch
	1.4	8	3.5
	1.45	9.1	3.62	Watch
	1.54	8.8	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.5)	9.03 ↑ (9)	3.62 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aalborg
64%

Draw
10.3%

THW Kiel
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

10.4%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

11%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aalborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	12.5%	37.5%

Aalborg - THW Kiel Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Aalborg will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalborg: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 2.

Aalborg in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Kiel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aalborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aalborg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Aalborg to win the game is with odds 1.74.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Aalborg won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 221-233.

Including matches at home between the teams Aalborg won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 104-121.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
19.11.23	Skjern - Aalborg	21:24 ✺
EHF Champions League
16.11.23	THW Kiel - Aalborg	18:27 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
11.11.23	Aalborg - Bjerringbro SV	34:28 ✺
29.10.23	Nordsjælland - Aalborg	27:33 ✺
EHF Champions League
25.10.23	Aalborg - Kolstad	27:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WWWWW
- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
19.11.23	THW Kiel - Füchse Berlin	30:26 ✺
EHF Champions League
16.11.23	THW Kiel - Aalborg	18:27 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
12.11.23	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - THW Kiel	25:31 ✺
09.11.23	Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel	36:33 ✺
29.10.23	Frisch Auf Göppingen - THW Kiel	27:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
16.11.23	THW Kiel - Aalborg	18:27
15.12.22	Aalborg - THW Kiel	26:30
02.11.22	THW Kiel - Aalborg	36:36
24.11.21	Aalborg - THW Kiel	35:33
18.11.21	THW Kiel - Aalborg	31:28
21.10.20	Aalborg - THW Kiel	23:31
18.02.18	Aalborg - THW Kiel	20:27

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