Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - ROUND 7

Date: 16 November 2023, Thursday


	THW Kiel		Aalborg

	1	X	2
	1.75	8.5	2.6	Watch
	1.65	10.5	2.7
	1.79	8.4	2.48	Watch
	1.65	7.5	2.6
	1.7	8.3	2.73	Watch
	1.77	8.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.61)	8.6 ↑ (8.22)	2.63 ↓ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

THW Kiel
53.9%

Draw
10.8%

Aalborg
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.4%

11.3%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

12.3%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

THW Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Aalborg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for THW Kiel than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for THW Kiel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalborg than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aalborg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	4.3%	8.7%

THW Kiel - Aalborg Predictions

Users Predictions: THW Kiel will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Kiel won 3.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Aalborg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Kiel have a series of guest games.

Kiel will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kiel to win the game is with odds 1.73.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Kiel won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 215-194.

Including matches at home between the teams Kiel won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 94-90.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- THW Kiel
German Bundesliga Handball
12.11.23	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - THW Kiel	25:31 ✺
09.11.23	Hannover-Burgdorf - THW Kiel	36:33 ✺
29.10.23	Frisch Auf Göppingen - THW Kiel	27:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
26.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - THW Kiel	28:34 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
22.10.23	THW Kiel - TBV Lemgo	33:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLWWW
- Aalborg Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
11.11.23	Aalborg - Bjerringbro SV	34:28 ✺
29.10.23	Nordsjælland - Aalborg	27:33 ✺
EHF Champions League
25.10.23	Aalborg - Kolstad	27:25 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
22.10.23	Aalborg - Fredericia	35:27 ✺
EHF Champions League
18.10.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Aalborg	33:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF Champions League
15.12.22	Aalborg - THW Kiel	26:30
02.11.22	THW Kiel - Aalborg	36:36
24.11.21	Aalborg - THW Kiel	35:33
18.11.21	THW Kiel - Aalborg	31:28
21.10.20	Aalborg - THW Kiel	23:31
18.02.18	Aalborg - THW Kiel	20:27
27.09.17	THW Kiel - Aalborg	27:26

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