Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Aarhus		GOG

	1	X	2
	4.5	10	1.35
	4	10.5	1.36
	4	9.5	1.38
	3.95	10	1.37
	4	9	1.4
	4.4	10.5	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↓ (4.5)	9.92 ↓ (10.5)	1.37 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus
22.5%

Draw
9.4%

GOG
68.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

70.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.1%

7.2%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

GOG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for GOG than the current prediction. (-11.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for GOG, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aarhus - GOG Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

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Preview

Recent matches Aarhus is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

GOG is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

GOG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match GOG is a favorite.

GOG is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Last 18 head-to-head matches Aarhus won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 459-537.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 204-223.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
03.12.20	Fredericia - Aarhus	36:35 ✺
23.11.20	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	25:26 ✺
19.11.20	Aarhus - Skanderborg	28:21 ✺
13.11.20	Mors-Thy - Aarhus	28:36 ✺
28.10.20	Aarhus - Ribe-Esbjerg	25:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LLWWL
- GOG Håndbold
EHF European League
09.12.20	GOG - Tatabanya	30:28 ✺
08.12.20	Tatabanya - GOG	32:35 ✺
Danish Handbold Ligaen
05.12.20	GOG - Bjerringbro SV	34:33 ✺
21.11.20	Lemvig-Thyborøn - GOG	26:28 ✺
EHF European League
17.11.20	GOG - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	32:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
12.09.20	GOG - Aarhus	29:21
21.12.19	Aarhus - GOG	20:27
18.09.19	GOG - Aarhus	33:30
12.05.19	GOG - Aarhus	32:29
18.04.19	Aarhus - GOG	26:28
06.03.19	Aarhus - GOG	26:30
12.10.18	GOG - Aarhus	32:24

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