Match Info

Date: 3 December 2020, Thursday


	Fredericia		Aarhus

	1	X	2
	1.67	8.5	2.9
	1.6	9.5	2.85
	1.66	9	2.8
	1.62	9	2.85
	1.62	8.5	2.88
	1.68	9.6	2.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.88)	9.02 ↓ (9.4)	2.84 ↑ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredericia
56.8%

Draw
10.3%

Aarhus
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

10%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

9.5%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fredericia's performance.

Aarhus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aarhus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aarhus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Fredericia - Aarhus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

Fredericia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aarhus is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aarhus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fredericia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Fredericia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fredericia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 103-117.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredericia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 31-29.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredericia Håndbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
25.11.20	Fredericia - Tvis Holstebro	33:34 ✺
17.11.20	Bjerringbro SV - Fredericia	27:33 ✺
13.11.20	Fredericia - Lemvig-Thyborøn	31:23 ✺
29.10.20	Fredericia - Skanderborg	29:25 ✺
22.10.20	Sønderjysk Elite - Fredericia	28:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 LWWWW
- Aarhus Handbold
Danish Handbold Ligaen
23.11.20	Aarhus - Sønderjysk Elite	25:26 ✺
19.11.20	Aarhus - Skanderborg	28:21 ✺
13.11.20	Mors-Thy - Aarhus	28:36 ✺
28.10.20	Aarhus - Ribe-Esbjerg	25:30 ✺
24.10.20	Aalborg - Aarhus	40:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish Handbold Ligaen
08.09.20	Aarhus - Fredericia	32:25
Club Friendly Hanbdall
03.08.20	Aarhus - Fredericia	26:25
Danish Handbold Ligaen
29.02.20	Aarhus - Fredericia	30:22
01.11.19	Fredericia - Aarhus	31:29

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