Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION - ROUND 12

Date: 26 November 2023, Sunday


	Aarhus HC		Midtjylland

	1	X	2
	3.16	7.87	1.57
	2.8	7.5	1.57
	3.7	8.8	1.41
	2.85	8.4	1.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.82)	8.14 ↑ (7.93)	1.53 ↓ (1.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 54.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus HC
29.2%

Draw
11.2%

Midtjylland
59.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

11.4%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

10.9%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus HC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Midtjylland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aarhus HC than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Midtjylland than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Aarhus HC - Midtjylland Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:29

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Preview

Recent matches Aarhus HC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Midtjylland in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Midtjylland could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Midtjylland will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Midtjylland to win the game is with odds 1.55.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus HC
Danish 1 Division Handball
18.11.23	FIF - Aarhus HC	34:37 ✺
12.11.23	Aarhus HC - Rækker Mølle	24:23 ✺
28.10.23	Odder HB - Aarhus HC	24:28 ✺
20.10.23	Aarhus HC - Skive FH	22:24 ✺
14.10.23	Grindsted - Aarhus HC	24:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLL
- HC Midtjylland
Danish 1 Division Handball
16.11.23	Midtjylland - Skovbakken	41:26 ✺
11.11.23	HØJ - Midtjylland	23:27 ✺
28.10.23	Midtjylland - Sydhavsøerne	28:27 ✺
20.10.23	Tønder - Midtjylland	25:27 ✺
14.10.23	Midtjylland - Køge	33:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWW

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