Match Info

DENMARK: 1. DIVISION - ROUND 26

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday


	Aarhus HC		Tønder

	1	X	2
	1.98	7.87	2.23
	1.85	8.5	2.15
	1.81	9	2.33
	1.9	8.6	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.93)	8.49 ↓ (8.95)	2.24 ↑ (2.15)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aarhus HC
48.4%

Draw
10.8%

Tønder
40.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

10.2%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

10.2%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aarhus HC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Tønder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus HC than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tønder than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

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Preview

Recent matches Aarhus HC is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tønder is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Aarhus HC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 77-84.

Including matches at home between the teams Aarhus HC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 23-30.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aarhus HC
Danish 1 Division Handball
22.03.24	Midtjylland - Aarhus HC	24:22 ✺
10.03.24	Aarhus HC - FIF	33:20 ✺
02.03.24	Rækker Mølle - Aarhus HC	33:33 ✺
27.02.24	Aarhus HC - Vendsyssel	31:23 ✺
23.02.24	Aarhus HC - Odder HB	24:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWTWL
- TM Tønder Håndbold
Danish 1 Division Handball
24.03.24	Tønder - Skovbakken	34:27 ✺
10.03.24	HØJ - Tønder	33:33 ✺
03.03.24	Tønder - Sydhavsøerne	24:27 ✺
24.02.24	Køge - Tønder	25:32 ✺
16.02.24	Midtjylland - Tønder	24:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division Handball
03.12.23	Tønder - Aarhus HC	26:27
05.03.23	Aarhus HC - Tønder	23:30
06.11.22	Tønder - Aarhus HC	28:27

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