Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 10

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Agustinos Alicante		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.7	7.8	2.65
	1.99	5.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)	6.6 ↓ (8)	2.63 ↑ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 51.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Agustinos Alicante
50.4%

Draw
14.1%

Villa de Aranda
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

11.5%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

10.5%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Agustinos Alicante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Agustinos Alicante than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Agustinos Alicante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa de Aranda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Agustinos Alicante - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:27

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Agustinos Alicante will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Agustinos Alicante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 115-111.

Including matches at home between the teams Agustinos Alicante won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 53-51.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Agustinos Alicante
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
18.11.23	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Agustinos Alicante	24:24 ✺
11.11.23	Agustinos Alicante - Zamora	30:21 ✺
28.10.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Agustinos Alicante	35:25 ✺
21.10.23	Cisne - Agustinos Alicante	28:24 ✺
14.10.23	Agustinos Alicante - Barcelona II	25:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TWLLW
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
18.11.23	Villa de Aranda - Cisne	17:25 ✺
11.11.23	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	25:21 ✺
28.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	27:26 ✺
21.10.23	Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda	21:23 ✺
14.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Oviedo	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
30.03.19	Agustinos Alicante - Villa de Aranda	22:23
24.11.18	Villa de Aranda - Agustinos Alicante	31:30
24.03.18	Villa de Aranda - Agustinos Alicante	29:32
19.11.17	Agustinos Alicante - Villa de Aranda	31:28

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