Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 8

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Barcelona II		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.51	8.3	3.22
	1.53	9.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.87)	8.75 ↑ (7.3)	3.24 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona II
60.8%

Draw
10.6%

Villa de Aranda
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

12.5%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

11.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona II's performance.

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa de Aranda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona II than the current prediction. (-16.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa de Aranda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Users Predictions: Barcelona II will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Barcelona won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 206-196.

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 92-82.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Handball II
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
28.10.23	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Barcelona II	31:34 ✺
21.10.23	Barcelona II - Zamora	45:26 ✺
14.10.23	Agustinos Alicante - Barcelona II	25:23 ✺
07.10.23	Barcelona II - Cisne	24:29 ✺
01.10.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Barcelona II	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLLL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
28.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	27:26 ✺
21.10.23	Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda	21:23 ✺
14.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Oviedo	25:24 ✺
07.10.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	31:28 ✺
30.09.23	Villa de Aranda - Antequera	27:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.05.23	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II	35:35
22.04.23	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	38:36
02.11.19	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II	29:26
09.03.19	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II	25:24
03.11.18	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	32:31
12.05.18	Barcelona II - Villa de Aranda	22:15
13.01.18	Villa de Aranda - Barcelona II	25:29

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