Match Info

SPAIN: DIVISION DE HONOR PLATA - ROUND 7

Date: 28 October 2023, Saturday


	Villa de Aranda		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.99	3.32	3.45
	2.85	9.6	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↓ (2.76)	6.46 ↓ (6.7)	2.54 ↑ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa de Aranda
42.9%

Draw
16.1%

Burgos
41%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

13.8%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

14.1%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa de Aranda's performance.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa de Aranda that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Villa de Aranda - Burgos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Villa de Aranda will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 28:30

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Preview

Recent matches Villa de Aranda is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Villa de Aranda will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa de Aranda won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 104-114.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa de Aranda won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 52-52.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
21.10.23	Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda	21:23 ✺
14.10.23	Villa de Aranda - Oviedo	25:24 ✺
07.10.23	Quabit Guadalajara - Villa de Aranda	31:28 ✺
30.09.23	Villa de Aranda - Antequera	27:31 ✺
23.09.23	EÓN Alicante - Villa de Aranda	32:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLLL
- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
22.10.23	Burgos - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	23:20 ✺
14.10.23	Zamora - Burgos	17:27 ✺
08.10.23	Burgos - Agustinos Alicante	31:21 ✺
30.09.23	Cisne - Burgos	34:36 ✺
24.09.23	Burgos - Barcelona II	27:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
11.02.23	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	27:27
06.11.22	Burgos - Villa de Aranda	28:24
29.01.22	Villa de Aranda - Burgos	25:25
31.10.21	Burgos - Villa de Aranda	34:28

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