The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alser Puerto Sagunto 49.1%
Draw 11.8%
Nava 39.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
50.2%
10.6%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
11.2%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alser Puerto Sagunto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alser Puerto Sagunto than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nava than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31
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Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th and 14th in the Division de Honor Plata (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puerto Sagunto won 2.
The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.
Nava may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Puerto Sagunto has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 260:284 (averaging 26:28.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Puerto Sagunto against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 124:128 goals (averaging 24.8:25.6 per game).
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