Match Info

SPAIN: LIGA ASOBAL - ROUND 21

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday


	Alser Puerto Sagunto		Nava

	1	X	2
	4	9.5	1.42	Watch
	3.4	10.5	1.45	Watch
	3.88	9.48	1.39
	3.6	8.5	1.36
	3.41	9	1.5	Watch
	3.65	9.8	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↓ (3.92)	9.46 ↓ (9.53)	1.42 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alser Puerto Sagunto
25.3%

Draw
9.8%

Nava
64.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

9.7%

66.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.3%

10.3%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alser Puerto Sagunto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Nava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Alser Puerto Sagunto aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nava than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:33

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Puerto Sagunto won 2.

Puerto Sagunto has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Nava is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Nava is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Puerto Sagunto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 235-253.

Including matches at home between the teams Puerto Sagunto won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 99-97.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alser Puerto Sagunto
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
03.03.24	Benidorm - Alser Puerto Sagunto	31:24 ✺
25.02.24	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	30:31 ✺
17.02.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - Alser Puerto Sagunto	38:27 ✺
10.02.24	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Atlético Valladolid	29:34 ✺
02.02.24	Torrelavega - Alser Puerto Sagunto	32:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
02.03.24	Nava - BM Huesca	36:34 ✺
24.02.24	Morrazo Cangas - Nava	29:29 ✺
18.02.24	Nava - Reale Ademar	31:30 ✺
11.02.24	BM Sinfín - Nava	40:33 ✺
03.02.24	Nava - BM Granollers	33:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.10.23	Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto	30:28
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
27.05.23	Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto	36:32
22.04.23	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava	25:24
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.05.21	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava	27:25
06.12.20	Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto	29:27
29.02.20	Nava - Alser Puerto Sagunto	28:23
28.09.19	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Nava	25:25

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