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Current Win Probability
Atlético Novás 56.4%
Draw 11.4%
Villa de Aranda 32.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
10.1%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
72.1%
9.7%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlético Novás has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atlético Novás's form might have worsened.
Villa de Aranda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Villa de Aranda's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Novás than the current prediction. (+15.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Novás, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Villa de Aranda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Atlético Novás - Villa de Aranda Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:27
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Atlético Novás won 4.
Recent matches Atlético Novás is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Villa de Aranda is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Atlético Novás will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Atlético Novás won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 171-168.
Including matches at home between the teams Atlético Novás won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 76-69.
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