Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Round 24

Date: 22 March 2025, Saturday


	Atlético Novás		Burgos

	1	X	2
	4.1	9.2	1.33
	4.2	9	1.3
	4.37	8.9	1.33
	4.1	9.2	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↓ (4.25)	9.08 ↓ (9.65)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Novás
21.6%

Draw
10%

Burgos
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

9.5%

68.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

9.3%

70.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Atlético Novás have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Novás than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Novás won 2.

Novás is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Burgos is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Burgos is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Novás won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 261:251 (average 29:27.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Novás won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 115:103 (average 28.8:25.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Novás
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
08.03.25	Agustinos Alicante - Atlético Novás	28:20 ✺
01.03.25	Atlético Novás - Barcelona II	29:33 ✺
23.02.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Atlético Novás	28:21 ✺
16.02.25	Atlético Novás - Cisne	33:32 ✺
08.02.25	Atlético Novás - Antequera	32:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
09.03.25	Burgos - Antequera	33:29 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.03.25	Burgos - BM Ciudad Encantada	29:30 ✺
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.03.25	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Burgos	25:28 ✺
23.02.25	Burgos - Amenabar Zarautz	25:27 ✺
15.02.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Burgos	19:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
10.11.24	Burgos - Atlético Novás	27:25
18.05.24	Burgos - Atlético Novás	31:29
13.01.24	Atlético Novás - Burgos	29:30
05.02.23	Burgos - Atlético Novás	26:28
29.10.22	Atlético Novás - Burgos	31:23
26.01.22	Atlético Novás - Burgos	27:23
10.10.21	Burgos - Atlético Novás	35:36

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