Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 14

Date: 17 December 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Atlético Valladolid		Reale Ademar

	1	X	2
	1.75	8	2.7	Watch
	1.65	7.8	2.75
	1.69	7.52	2.71	Watch
	1.67	7.5	2.63
	1.7	8.9	2.61	Watch
	1.71	8.5	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↑ (1.66)	8.04 ↓ (9.16)	2.69 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Valladolid
54.3%

Draw
11.4%

Reale Ademar
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

9.9%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Valladolid than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atlético Valladolid, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Atlético Valladolid will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético Valladolid won 2.

Atlético Valladolid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ademar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ademar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Atlético Valladolid is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Atlético Valladolid will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético Valladolid won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 591:636. (average 29.6:31.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético Valladolid won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 324:327. (average 32.4:32.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Reale Ademar - the odds 2.58 are the expected chance of winning is 35.26%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Valladolid
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
13.12.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Atlético Valladolid	25:30 ✺
07.12.25	Atlético Valladolid - Caserio Ciudad Real	34:30 ✺
29.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Atlético Valladolid	34:24 ✺
21.11.25	Atlético Valladolid - BM Granollers	29:26 ✺
15.11.25	Morrazo Cangas - Atlético Valladolid	29:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWLWW
- Reale Ademar
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.12.25	Reale Ademar - EÓN Alicante	29:28 ✺
11.12.25	Reale Ademar - Nava	32:29 ✺
06.12.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	33:33 ✺
EHF European League
02.12.25	Nexe - Reale Ademar	29:28 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
29.11.25	Reale Ademar - Torrelavega	28:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.05.25	Reale Ademar - Atlético Valladolid	29:27
18.12.24	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	35:31
18.05.24	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	36:33
09.12.23	Reale Ademar - Atlético Valladolid	27:22
27.05.23	Reale Ademar - Atlético Valladolid	39:32
04.12.22	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	30:37
24.04.22	Atlético Valladolid - Reale Ademar	45:40

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