Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 12

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Naturhouse La Rioja		Reale Ademar

	1	X	2
	1.32	10	4.75	Watch
	1.29	11	4.3
	1.26	9.28	5.25	Watch
	1.29	9.5	4.33
	1.29	11.5	4.53	Watch
	1.3	11	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.32)	10.38 ↑ (9.82)	4.65 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naturhouse La Rioja
71.3%

Draw
8.9%

Reale Ademar
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.4%

9.1%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.9%

8.4%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Reale Ademar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reale Ademar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. La Rioja will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:28

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Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 3.

La Rioja is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Ademar has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

La Rioja may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, La Rioja is considered a favorite.

We predict that La Rioja will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 608:595. (average 30.4:29.8).

Including home matches between the teams, La Rioja won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 303:298. (average 30.3:29.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
30.11.25	Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil - Naturhouse La Rioja	39:42 ✺
22.11.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Caserio Ciudad Real	38:35 ✺
15.11.25	Bidasoa Irun - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:32 ✺
08.11.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	33:29 ✺
26.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW
- Reale Ademar
EHF European League
02.12.25	Nexe - Reale Ademar	29:28 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
29.11.25	Reale Ademar - Torrelavega	28:28 ✺
EHF European League
25.11.25	Reale Ademar - Kadetten Schaffhausen	30:27 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
21.11.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Reale Ademar	26:26 ✺
EHF European League
18.11.25	Reale Ademar - Partizan Beograd	29:22 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
01.06.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	30:29
22.12.24	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:38
25.05.24	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:33
13.12.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	37:34
11.02.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	30:30
10.09.22	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	34:38
26.02.22	Naturhouse La Rioja - Reale Ademar	32:33

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