The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Avanca 20%
Draw 9.5%
Águas Santas 70.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.1%
11.5%
63.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
11%
61%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Avanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Avanca's form might have worsened.
Águas Santas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Águas Santas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avanca than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Avanca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águas Santas than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Águas Santas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Avanca - Águas Santas Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:30
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Avanca won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Avanca (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Águas Santas has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Recently, Águas Santas has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Águas Santas for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Avanca has recorded 3 wins, 3 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 524:570 (averaging 26.2:28.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Avanca against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with 264:276 goals (averaging 26.4:27.6 per game).