Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 29

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	BM Huesca		Naturhouse La Rioja

	1	X	2
	4.5	10	1.35
	4.1	11	1.31
	4.82	8.54	1.3	Watch
	4	10	1.29
	4.18	10.2	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (4.17)	9.95 ↓ (10.37)	1.32 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BM Huesca
21.2%

Draw
9.2%

Naturhouse La Rioja
69.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

8.8%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

8.2%

74.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BM Huesca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Naturhouse La Rioja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BM Huesca than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

BM Huesca - Naturhouse La Rioja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:33

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Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BM Huesca won 2.

In recent matches, BM Huesca has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

La Rioja is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, La Rioja is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, BM Huesca won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 564:606. (average 28.2:30.3).

Including home matches between the teams, BM Huesca won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 293:305. (average 29.3:30.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
3	La Rioja	5	4	0	1	175:172	8

Last Results with these Odds

Naturhouse La Rioja - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 69.42%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BM Huesca
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.05.26	Torrelavega - BM Huesca	33:28 ✺
01.05.26	BM Huesca - Quabit Guadalajara	29:24 ✺
25.04.26	Barcelona - BM Huesca	42:25 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	BM Huesca - BM Granollers	35:34 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
19.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - BM Huesca	35:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LWLWL
- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.05.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Nava	28:25 ✺
02.05.26	Reale Ademar - Naturhouse La Rioja	32:32 ✺
26.04.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Ángel Ximénez Puente Genil	31:24 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
22.04.26	BM Ciudad Encantada - Naturhouse La Rioja	31:30 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.04.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.12.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Huesca	33:28
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
06.06.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Huesca	25:28
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.05.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Huesca	27:25
13.12.24	BM Huesca - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:32
09.02.24	BM Huesca - Naturhouse La Rioja	36:32
15.09.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Huesca	30:30
05.03.23	BM Huesca - Naturhouse La Rioja	33:29

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