Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 8

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Naturhouse La Rioja		BM Granollers

	1	X	2
	2.7	8.5	1.75	Watch
	2.65	8.2	1.67
	2.19	7.84	1.87	Watch
	2.56	9.2	1.71	Watch
	2.71	9	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.25)	8.55 ↓ (8.6)	1.74 ↓ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Naturhouse La Rioja
36.1%

Draw
10.8%

BM Granollers
53.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41%

10.7%

48.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

10.4%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Naturhouse La Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

BM Granollers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naturhouse La Rioja than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Naturhouse La Rioja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BM Granollers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BM Granollers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:33

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Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 2.

La Rioja is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, BM Granollers has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

BM Granollers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, La Rioja won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 606:614. (average 30.3:30.7).

Including home matches between the teams, La Rioja won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 351:328. (average 31.9:29.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Naturhouse La Rioja Logrono
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.10.25	Morrazo Cangas - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:30 ✺
19.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - Villa de Aranda	42:30 ✺
12.10.25	Atlético Valladolid - Naturhouse La Rioja	27:34 ✺
03.10.25	Naturhouse La Rioja - EÓN Alicante	33:29 ✺
26.09.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- BM Granollers
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
26.10.25	BM Granollers - Torrelavega	32:31 ✺
EHF European League
21.10.25	Minaur Baia Mare - BM Granollers	24:24 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
17.10.25	Quabit Guadalajara - BM Granollers	29:32 ✺
EHF European League
14.10.25	BM Granollers - Skanderborg	26:31 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.10.25	BM Granollers - Barcelona	28:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.03.25	BM Granollers - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:27
12.10.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	38:42
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
31.05.24	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	34:28
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
05.05.24	BM Granollers - Naturhouse La Rioja	30:28
02.12.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	34:31
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
16.03.23	Naturhouse La Rioja - BM Granollers	34:30
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
18.02.23	BM Granollers - Naturhouse La Rioja	29:32

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