Match Info

Division de Honor Plata - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga		Burgos

	1	X	2
	4.4	10	1.3
	4.44	9.7	1.32
	4.25	9.5	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.75)	9.73 ↓ (9.85)	1.31 ↓ (1.38)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga
20.9%

Draw
9.4%

Burgos
69.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.4%

9.3%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

9.3%

66.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Burgos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Malaga won 3.

Malaga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Burgos has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Burgos may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Burgos is considered a favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Malaga won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 197:201. (average 28.1:28.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Malaga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 117:108. (average 29.3:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
15.11.25	Cisne - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	30:25 ✺
01.11.25	Anaitasuna - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	34:26 ✺
25.10.25	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Alcobendas	29:19 ✺
18.10.25	Zaragoza - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	37:25 ✺
11.10.25	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Proin	25:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL
- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
16.11.25	Burgos - Oviedo	26:17 ✺
08.11.25	Agustinos Alicante - Burgos	36:33 ✺
01.11.25	Cisne - Burgos	21:29 ✺
26.10.25	Burgos - Alser Puerto Sagunto	28:28 ✺
19.10.25	Anaitasuna - Burgos	34:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.03.25	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Burgos	25:28
24.02.24	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Burgos	28:25
22.10.23	Burgos - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	23:20
27.05.23	Burgos - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	34:37
22.04.23	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Burgos	32:27
28.05.22	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Burgos	32:28
24.04.22	Burgos - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	36:23

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