Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Round 23

Date: 8 March 2025, Saturday


	Barcelona II		Caserio Ciudad Real

	1	X	2
	2.27	7.8	1.88
	2.32	8.12	1.86	Watch
	2.25	8	1.85
	2.14	7.7	1.98
	2.27	7.8	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.7)	7.88 ↓ (9.65)	1.89 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barcelona II
40.4%

Draw
11.5%

Caserio Ciudad Real
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

9.5%

56.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

9.4%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barcelona II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barcelona II's performance.

Caserio Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caserio Ciudad Real might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barcelona II than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Barcelona II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caserio Ciudad Real could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Barcelona II - Caserio Ciudad Real Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

Recent matches Barcelona II is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Caserio Ciudad Real is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Barcelona II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Caserio Ciudad Real have a series of home games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Barcelona II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 136:134 (average 27.2:26.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Barcelona II won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 60:51 (average 30:25.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barcelona Handball II
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.03.25	Atlético Novás - Barcelona II	29:33 ✺
23.02.25	Barcelona II - Antequera	28:29 ✺
15.02.25	Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga - Barcelona II	27:24 ✺
08.02.25	Barcelona II - Amenabar Zarautz	39:30 ✺
01.02.25	Alser Puerto Sagunto - Barcelona II	31:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL
- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.03.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Morrazo Cangas	36:39 ✺
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.03.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Cisne	28:23 ✺
23.02.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Atlético Novás	28:21 ✺
15.02.25	Antequera - Caserio Ciudad Real	26:27 ✺
09.02.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Balonmano Ciudad de Málaga	27:19 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
01.11.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Barcelona II	29:25
03.02.24	Barcelona II - Caserio Ciudad Real	28:25
01.10.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Barcelona II	31:29
05.02.23	Caserio Ciudad Real - Barcelona II	23:22
29.10.22	Barcelona II - Caserio Ciudad Real	32:26

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