Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 29

Date: 22 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Caserio Ciudad Real		Morrazo Cangas

	1	X	2
	1.6	8.5	3.2
	1.58	8.4	2.85
	1.64	7.71	2.83	Watch
	1.57	8	2.75
	1.65	8.9	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.41)	8.3 ↓ (9.77)	2.87 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caserio Ciudad Real
57%

Draw
11%

Morrazo Cangas
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

9.3%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

9.6%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caserio Ciudad Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Caserio Ciudad Real's form might have worsened.

Morrazo Cangas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Morrazo Cangas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caserio Ciudad Real than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caserio Ciudad Real, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morrazo Cangas than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Caserio Ciudad Real - Morrazo Cangas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Caserio Ciudad Real will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Caserio Ciudad Real won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 61:72. (average 30.5:36).

Including home match between the teams, Caserio Ciudad Real won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 36:39.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Caserio Ciudad Real	4	3	1	0	134:125	7
15	Morrazo Cangas	4	0	0	4	134:144	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caserio Ciudad Real
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
09.05.26	Villa de Aranda - Caserio Ciudad Real	32:26 ✺
03.05.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Atlético Valladolid	33:30 ✺
24.04.26	EÓN Alicante - Caserio Ciudad Real	26:31 ✺
18.04.26	Caserio Ciudad Real - Naturhouse La Rioja	28:33 ✺
11.04.26	Torrelavega - Caserio Ciudad Real	35:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWLL
- Morrazo Cangas
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
10.05.26	Morrazo Cangas - Bidasoa Irun	25:26 ✺
01.05.26	BM Granollers - Morrazo Cangas	33:25 ✺
25.04.26	Morrazo Cangas - BM Ciudad Encantada	28:24 ✺
19.04.26	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	28:26 ✺
11.04.26	Atlético Valladolid - Morrazo Cangas	29:23 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
16.12.25	Morrazo Cangas - Caserio Ciudad Real	33:25
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
05.03.25	Caserio Ciudad Real - Morrazo Cangas	36:39

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