Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 30

Date: 1 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Palau d'Esports L'Illa de Benidorm (Benidorm)


	Benidorm		Nava

	1	X	2
	1.42	9.5	4
	1.36	10.5	4
	1.35	10	3.8
	1.4	9.05	3.84	Watch
	1.36	10	3.6
	1.44	10.7	3.47	Watch
	1.35	10	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.31)	9.96 ↑ (9.68)	3.79 ↓ (4.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Benidorm
66.5%

Draw
9.2%

Nava
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.3%

9.5%

20.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

8.1%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Benidorm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Nava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Benidorm than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Benidorm that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nava than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Benidorm - Nava Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Benidorm will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Nava will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Nava (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:29

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Lineups


18. Alonso L.	77. Bonanno N.
53. Bandeira J.	17. Carro G.
16. Cervera L.	13. Collado F.
13. De Angelis T.	97. Cristian M.
12. Domenech R.	1. de Vega L.
23. Durovic M.	99. Garcia P.
8. Hernandez J.	11. Gil M.
22. Lopez H.	33. Guardiola G.
93. Mane A.	7. Guardiola I.
11. Moscariello L.	29. Lamariano Y.
19. Sempere J.	24. Marugan O.
5. Vainstein P.	8. Otero Quintana A.
34. Valles I.	9. Perez D.
99. Witkowski K.	10. Robledo L.
21. Zarikos N.	19. Tioumentsev A.
10. Zhukov D.

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Division de Honor Plata and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Benidorm won 2.

Benidorm has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nava has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Benidorm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Benidorm is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Benidorm won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 227:220. (average 28.4:27.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Benidorm won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 110:110. (average 27.5:27.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CB Benidorm
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.05.25	Morrazo Cangas - Benidorm	29:30 ✺
18.05.25	Benidorm - Torrelavega	27:33 ✺
02.05.25	Reale Ademar - Benidorm	27:23 ✺
19.04.25	BM Huesca - Benidorm	30:26 ✺
15.04.25	Benidorm - Bidasoa Irun	27:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLLLT
- BM Nava
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
25.05.25	Nava - BM Granollers	32:37 ✺
17.05.25	Quabit Guadalajara - Nava	31:31 ✺
04.05.25	BM Ciudad Encantada - Nava	24:25 ✺
26.04.25	Nava - Morrazo Cangas	30:26 ✺
18.04.25	Torrelavega - Nava	28:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.12.24	Nava - Benidorm	31:31
04.05.24	Nava - Benidorm	29:29
03.12.23	Benidorm - Nava	29:32
21.05.22	Benidorm - Nava	31:26
04.12.21	Nava - Benidorm	25:30
27.03.21	Benidorm - Nava	29:29
18.11.20	Nava - Benidorm	25:27

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