Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Bergischer		SC DHfK Leipzig

	1	X	2
	2.3	7.5	2
	2.24	7.6	1.92
	2.44	7.94	1.79	Watch
	2.13	9	1.93
	2.37	8.5	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.44)	8.11 ↑ (7.94)	1.91 ↑ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergischer
40.3%

Draw
11.4%

SC DHfK Leipzig
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

11.5%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

10.8%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Bergischer - SC DHfK Leipzig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergischer (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bergischer (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Bergischer (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 3.

Bergischer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Leipzig's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Leipzig may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Bergischer has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Bergischer won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 412:419. (average 25.8:26.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bergischer won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 201:189. (average 25.1:23.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergischer HC 06
German Bundesliga Handball
17.10.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Bergischer	26:21 ✺
12.10.25	Magdeburg - Bergischer	39:30 ✺
09.10.25	Bergischer - HSG Wetzlar	35:28 ✺
German DHB Pokal
02.10.25	HSC 2000 Coburg - Bergischer	23:26 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
25.09.25	TBV Lemgo - Bergischer	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- SC DHfK Leipzig Handball
German Bundesliga Handball
19.10.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - Magdeburg	23:36 ✺
10.10.25	MT Melsungen - SC DHfK Leipzig	34:25 ✺
04.10.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - Flensburg-Handewitt	24:42 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - SC DHfK Leipzig	26:28 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
27.09.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
29.02.24	SC DHfK Leipzig - Bergischer	33:22
23.11.23	Bergischer - SC DHfK Leipzig	31:31
04.05.23	Bergischer - SC DHfK Leipzig	32:28
18.12.22	SC DHfK Leipzig - Bergischer	27:32
22.05.22	SC DHfK Leipzig - Bergischer	22:26
30.10.21	Bergischer - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:20
06.06.21	SC DHfK Leipzig - Bergischer	27:25

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