Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 10 October 2025, Friday


	MT Melsungen		SC DHfK Leipzig

	1	X	2
	1.18	12	7.5
	1.21	12	5.4
				Watch
	1.22	12.2	5.3	Watch
	1.22	12	6.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.31)	12.05 ↑ (9.37)	6.13 ↑ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MT Melsungen
77.1%

Draw
7.7%

SC DHfK Leipzig
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71%

9.9%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

9.7%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MT Melsungen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in MT Melsungen's performance.

SC DHfK Leipzig has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC DHfK Leipzig than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

MT Melsungen - SC DHfK Leipzig Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Melsungen (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5, OT - Melsungen (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Melsungen (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:26

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Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 3.

Melsungen is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Leipzig is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Melsungen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Melsungen is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melsungen won 12 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 577:551. (average 28.9:27.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Melsungen won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 317:297. (average 28.8:27).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MT Melsungen
German Bundesliga Handball
05.10.25	Stuttgart - MT Melsungen	29:31 ✺
26.09.25	MT Melsungen - HSV Hamburg	32:28 ✺
21.09.25	Füchse Berlin - MT Melsungen	30:24 ✺
12.09.25	MT Melsungen - Erlangen	32:32 ✺
07.09.25	Eisenach - MT Melsungen	27:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLTW
- SC DHfK Leipzig Handball
German Bundesliga Handball
04.10.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - Flensburg-Handewitt	24:42 ✺
German DHB Pokal
01.10.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - SC DHfK Leipzig	26:28 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
27.09.25	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:24 ✺
21.09.25	SC DHfK Leipzig - THW Kiel	34:41 ✺
11.09.25	Frisch Auf Göppingen - SC DHfK Leipzig	24:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Hanbdall
07.08.25	MT Melsungen - SC DHfK Leipzig	30:32
German Bundesliga Handball
07.03.25	MT Melsungen - SC DHfK Leipzig	34:25
24.10.24	SC DHfK Leipzig - MT Melsungen	27:28
03.03.24	SC DHfK Leipzig - MT Melsungen	32:27
German DHB Pokal
12.12.23	SC DHfK Leipzig - MT Melsungen	21:27
German Bundesliga Handball
02.09.23	MT Melsungen - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:27
16.02.23	MT Melsungen - SC DHfK Leipzig	28:29

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