Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 29

Date: 26 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Uni-Halle (Wuppertal)


	Bergischer		TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen

	1	X	2
	1.26	13	4.75
	1.15	12	6.8
	1.12	14.95	9.14	Watch
	1.18	12	5.8
	1.1	14.5	8.3
	1.15	12	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.39)	13.08 ↑ (9.67)	6.93 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bergischer
79.6%

Draw
7.1%

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

9.4%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.2%

8.7%

23%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bergischer's performance.

TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bergischer that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Bergischer - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Bergischer will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 33:26

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Lineups


19. Babak T.	9. Eisel M.
14. Babarskas G.	20. Falk A.
20. Belal Ibrahim	11. Grupe M.
2. Beyer N.	14. Haider M.
16. Diedrich L.	7. Ilic M.
18. Fraatz Y.	23. James R.
46. Fuchs J.	1. Knudsen O.
22. Gislason T. T.	37. Leun F.
11. M'Bengue D.	6. Schaller T.
33. Morante E.	22. Schwarzer K.
1. Rudeck C.	48. Schwarz S.
4. Scholtes E.	24. Straub T.
49. Seesing A.	2. Stuber F.
6. Servos S.	34. Trost S.
17. Vidarsson A.	97. Urbic Z.
77. Wasielewski J.	4. Waldvogel N.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bergischer won 1.

Bergischer in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Friesenheim is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bergischer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bergischer is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bergischer won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 204:211 (average 25.5:26.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Bergischer won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 81:71 (average 27:23.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bergischer HC 06
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
23.04.25	Bergischer - HBW Balingen-Weilstetten	33:32 ✺
19.04.25	Hamm-Westfalen - Bergischer	20:27 ✺
05.04.25	Elbflorenz - Bergischer	22:30 ✺
31.03.25	Bergischer - Großwallstadt	36:23 ✺
26.03.25	Konstanz - Bergischer	28:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen
German 2 Bundesliga Handball
17.04.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Ferndorf	26:31 ✺
11.04.25	Lübeck-Schwartau - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	21:21 ✺
07.04.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Nordhorn-Lingen	24:23 ✺
29.03.25	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Dessau-Roßlauer	28:29 ✺
26.03.25	Elbflorenz - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	32:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga Handball
15.10.24	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bergischer	32:23
German Bundesliga Handball
13.05.21	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bergischer	28:22
16.12.20	Bergischer - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	27:18
31.10.19	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bergischer	27:27
26.05.19	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bergischer	23:22
26.08.18	Bergischer - TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen	27:23
27.05.15	TSG Friesenheim Ludwigshafen - Bergischer	30:29

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