Match Info

Proligue - Round 14

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Besançon		Caen

	1	X	2
	2.45	8.6	1.74
	2.59	7.34	1.74	Watch
	2.38	8.5	1.73
	2.48	8.8	1.76	Watch
	2.36	8.5	1.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.36)	8.35 ↓ (9.75)	1.75 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Besançon
37.1%

Draw
10.9%

Caen
52%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.8%

9.1%

53.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

8.3%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Besançon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Besançon than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Besançon - Caen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:34

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Besançon won 1.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Besançon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Caen will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Caen will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Besançon won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 236:257. (average 29.5:32.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Besançon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 107:125. (average 26.8:31.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grand Besançon Doubs Handball
French Proligue Handball
05.12.25	Saintes - Besançon	30:33 ✺
28.11.25	Besançon - Sarrebourg	31:29 ✺
21.11.25	Frontignan Thau - Besançon	29:31 ✺
14.11.25	Besançon - Massy Essonne	36:29 ✺
07.11.25	Valence - Besançon	29:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWL
- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
05.12.25	Massy Essonne - Caen	35:36 ✺
21.11.25	Pau Billère - Caen	38:32 ✺
14.11.25	Caen - Frontignan Thau	39:37 ✺
07.11.25	Angers - Caen	32:36 ✺
24.10.25	Caen - Sarrebourg	42:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
02.05.25	Caen - Besançon	43:32
22.11.24	Besançon - Caen	30:34
21.03.24	Caen - Besançon	30:36
24.11.23	Besançon - Caen	28:29
12.05.23	Caen - Besançon	30:29
16.09.22	Besançon - Caen	25:34
13.05.22	Caen - Besançon	29:32

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