The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bietigheim 31.9%
Draw 11.6%
Erlangen 56.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.5%
11.2%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.2%
12.3%
56.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bietigheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bietigheim than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
The ML Model estimate for Erlangen aligns with the current prediction.
Bietigheim - Erlangen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:31
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bietigheim won 0.
Bietigheim is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Erlangen have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Erlangen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Erlangen holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Bietigheim has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 212:255 (averaging 23.6:28.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Bietigheim against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 118:145 goals (averaging 23.6:29 per game).