The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Erlangen 26%
Draw 10.4%
MT Melsungen 63.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.5%
11.2%
60.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
10.8%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
MT Melsungen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MT Melsungen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Erlangen - MT Melsungen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:30
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 10th and 5th in the Promotion - European League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 0.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Melsungen may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Melsungen has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
In this matchup, Melsungen is considered the favorite to take the win.
Our forecast points to a victory for Melsungen in today's match, at odds of 1.46.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Erlangen has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 545:595 (averaging 27.3:29.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Erlangen against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 281:286 goals (averaging 28.1:28.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Pts
5
MT Melsungen
10
6
1
3
310:280
13
6
Erlangen
11
6
1
4
342:340
13
Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now
MT Melsungen: 1.69% Erlangen: 0.85%
Last Results with these Odds
MT Melsungen - the odds 1.51 are the expected chance of winning is 60.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
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