Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 9

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	HSG Wetzlar		Erlangen

	1	X	2
	2.40	7.50	1.90
	2.30	7.00	1.88
	2.38	8.50	1.85
	2.51	6.7	1.83	Watch
	2.30	7.50	1.85
	2.89	9.25	1.65
	2.25	7.00	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (1.9)	7.64 ↓ (7.7)	1.83 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Wetzlar
37.8%

Draw
12%

Erlangen
50.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

48.4%

11.9%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

11.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Wetzlar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HSG Wetzlar's form might have worsened.

Erlangen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Erlangen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Wetzlar than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HSG Wetzlar, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Erlangen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Erlangen will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Erlangen (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31

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Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 18th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga and 8th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 3.

Wetzlar is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Erlangen shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Erlangen in today's match, at odds of 1.85.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Wetzlar has recorded 8 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 528:547 (averaging 26.4:27.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Wetzlar against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 241:246 goals (averaging 26.8:27.3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
6	Erlangen	11	6	1	4	342:340	13
18	HSG Wetzlar	10	0	2	8	302:339	2

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Erlangen: 0.85% HSG Wetzlar: 0.85%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Wetzlar
German Bundesliga Handball
08.10.26	Stuttgart - HSG Wetzlar	31:26 ✺
02.10.26	HSG Wetzlar - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	30:30 ✺
27.09.26	HSV Hamburg - HSG Wetzlar	37:32 ✺
German DHB Pokal
23.09.26	Magdeburg - HSG Wetzlar	38:28 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	HSG Wetzlar - Gummersbach	33:36 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTLLL
- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
11.10.26	Erlangen - MT Melsungen	33:32 ✺
04.10.26	Magdeburg - Erlangen	35:28 ✺
28.09.26	Erlangen - Eisenach	28:19 ✺
German DHB Pokal
24.09.26	Stuttgart - Erlangen	26:29 ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	TBV Lemgo - Erlangen	28:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.2 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
23.05.26	HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen	29:26
18.10.25	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	33:26
08.06.25	HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen	21:25
17.11.24	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	22:25
24.02.24	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	26:27
26.10.23	HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen	26:31
Club Friendly Hanbdall
05.08.23	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	29:24

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