Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 32

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	HSG Wetzlar		Erlangen

	1	X	2
	1.8	8	2.7
	1.7	7.5	2.85
	1.78	7.4	2.49
	1.72	7.35	2.64	Watch
	1.73	7	2.5
	1.78	8.8	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.95)	7.68 ↓ (8.2)	2.61 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HSG Wetzlar
52.6%

Draw
12%

Erlangen
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

11.1%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6%

11.9%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HSG Wetzlar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HSG Wetzlar's performance.

Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Erlangen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HSG Wetzlar than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HSG Wetzlar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Erlangen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 2.

In recent matches, Wetzlar has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Erlangen is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Wetzlar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Wetzlar could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Wetzlar won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 531:544. (average 26.6:27.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Wetzlar won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 212:220. (average 26.5:27.5).

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Erlangen: 0.82% HSG Wetzlar: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
10	Erlangen	7	3	1	3	209:208	7
18	HSG Wetzlar	8	0	2	6	242:269	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HSG Wetzlar
German Bundesliga Handball
07.05.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - HSG Wetzlar	31:30 ✺
02.05.26	HSG Wetzlar - THW Kiel	33:25 ✺
26.04.26	HSG Wetzlar - Bergischer	33:29 ✺
11.04.26	Gummersbach - HSG Wetzlar	32:24 ✺
02.04.26	HSG Wetzlar - Stuttgart	31:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWWLT
- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
10.05.26	Erlangen - Gummersbach	22:26 ✺
30.04.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	30:29 ✺
25.04.26	Erlangen - HSV Hamburg	23:31 ✺
12.04.26	Magdeburg - Erlangen	35:31 ✺
05.04.26	Erlangen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	29:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
18.10.25	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	33:26
08.06.25	HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen	21:25
17.11.24	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	22:25
24.02.24	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	26:27
26.10.23	HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen	26:31
Club Friendly Hanbdall
05.08.23	Erlangen - HSG Wetzlar	29:24
German Bundesliga Handball
23.02.23	HSG Wetzlar - Erlangen	28:35

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