Match Info

FRANCE: Proligue - Round 12

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday


	Caen		Dijon

	1	X	2
	3.2	10	1.45
	3.35	9.2	1.44
	3.31	9.24	1.52
	3.3	9	1.44
	3.32	8.3	1.49
	3.35	9.2	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.31 ↑ (2.88)	9.16 ↑ (8.75)	1.46 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 59.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
27.6%

Draw
10%

Dijon
62.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

10.4%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

10.2%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Caen - Dijon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:32

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Preview

Caen is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Dijon in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Dijon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Dijon will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Dijon to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 135:142 (average 27:28.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 56:53 (average 28:26.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
22.11.24	Besançon - Caen	30:34 ✺
15.11.24	Caen - Angers	35:23 ✺
01.11.24	Pau Billère - Caen	30:25 ✺
25.10.24	Caen - Selestat AHB	27:27 ✺
18.10.24	Massy Essonne - Caen	28:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLTW
- Dijon Handball
French Proligue Handball
15.11.24	Selestat AHB - Dijon	26:30 ✺
01.11.24	Cherbourg - Dijon	27:28 ✺
25.10.24	Dijon - Massy Essonne	35:23 ✺
18.10.24	Valence - Dijon	29:29 ✺
11.10.24	Dijon - Frontignan Thau	37:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
21.04.23	Caen - Dijon	27:26
07.10.22	Dijon - Caen	31:26
20.05.22	Dijon - Caen	32:28
10.12.21	Caen - Dijon	29:27
17.11.18	Dijon - Caen	26:25

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