Match Info

Starligue - Round 15

Date: 19 December 2025, Friday


	Selestat AHB		Dijon

	1	X	2
	1.72	8	2.8
	1.7	8	2.6
	1.72	7.48	2.65	Watch
	1.67	8	2.5
	1.71	8.9	2.59	Watch
	1.75	8.5	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.81)	8.15 ↓ (8.63)	2.63 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 60.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Selestat AHB
53.7%

Draw
11.3%

Dijon
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

10.5%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1%

9.8%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Selestat AHB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Dijon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selestat AHB than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Selestat AHB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dijon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Selestat AHB - Dijon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:29

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Selestat won 1.

Selestat has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dijon has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Dijon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Dijon has had a series of home games.

Selestat will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Selestat won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 309:309. (average 25.8:25.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Selestat won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 156:152. (average 26:25.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Selestat AHB
French Starligue Handball
12.12.25	Istres OPH - Selestat AHB	23:33 ✺
07.12.25	Selestat AHB - HBC Nantes	33:41 ✺
29.11.25	Selestat AHB - Pays dAix	24:31 ✺
21.11.25	Tremblay - Selestat AHB	34:32 ✺
14.11.25	Selestat AHB - Chambery SH	33:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLT
- Dijon Handball
French Starligue Handball
13.12.25	Dijon - Fenix Toulouse	29:31 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
10.12.25	Dijon - HBC Nantes	32:36 ✺
French Starligue Handball
05.12.25	Dijon - Istres OPH	39:31 ✺
28.11.25	USAM Nimes - Dijon	24:21 ✺
21.11.25	Dijon - Chartres	29:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
21.03.25	Dijon - Selestat AHB	21:21
15.11.24	Selestat AHB - Dijon	26:30
13.05.22	Selestat AHB - Dijon	33:24
23.10.21	Dijon - Selestat AHB	30:30
23.03.21	Selestat AHB - Dijon	22:29
29.10.20	Dijon - Selestat AHB	28:25
07.02.20	Selestat AHB - Dijon	25:23

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