Match Info

Proligue - Promotion - Play Offs - Final

Date: 4 June 2025, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Sports 3


	Caen		Selestat AHB

	1	X	2
	2.3	7.75	1.87
	2.3	7.6	1.87	Watch
	2.36	8.34	1.89	Watch
	2.3	7.5	1.85
	2.16	9.2	1.88	Watch
	2.3	7.6	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.32)	8 ↓ (8.04)	1.87 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
39.9%

Draw
11.4%

Selestat AHB
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

11.4%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

9.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Selestat AHB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caen than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Caen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Selestat AHB than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Selestat AHB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Caen - Selestat AHB Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:30

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Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caen won 0.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Caen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 216:249. (average 27:31.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Caen won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 106:118. (average 26.5:29.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
31.05.25	Frontignan Thau - Caen	32:34 ✺
27.05.25	Caen - Frontignan Thau	34:21 ✺
23.05.25	Pau Billère - Caen	28:29 ✺
20.05.25	Caen - Pau Billère	28:26 ✺
16.05.25	Angers - Caen	29:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWW
- Selestat AHB
French Proligue Handball
31.05.25	Selestat AHB - Saran Loiret	37:27 ✺
27.05.25	Saran Loiret - Selestat AHB	21:23 ✺
23.05.25	Selestat AHB - Cherbourg	34:30 ✺
20.05.25	Cherbourg - Selestat AHB	24:24 ✺
16.05.25	Selestat AHB - Saran Loiret	29:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
11.04.25	Selestat AHB - Caen	30:24
25.10.24	Caen - Selestat AHB	27:27
17.05.24	Selestat AHB - Caen	33:32
13.10.23	Caen - Selestat AHB	21:29
22.04.22	Caen - Selestat AHB	30:36
24.09.21	Selestat AHB - Caen	38:27
22.03.19	Selestat AHB - Caen	30:27

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