Match Info

FRANCE: Proligue - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2024, Friday


	Caen		Nancy

	1	X	2
	1.5	8.5	3.2
	1.6	8.71	2.96
	1.56	9.05	3.15	Watch
	1.6	8.5	2.88
	1.62	7.9	2.86	Watch
	1.6	8.71	2.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.77)	8.56 ↑ (8.5)	3 ↑ (2.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caen
58.4%

Draw
10.8%

Nancy
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

10.8%

37.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

11.6%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Caen's performance.

Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nancy might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caen than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Caen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nancy could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Caen - Nancy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Caen will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Caen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 119:107 (average 29.8:26.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Caen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 62:48 (average 31:24).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caen Handball
French Proligue Handball
04.10.24	Frontignan Thau - Caen	42:35 ✺
27.09.24	Caen - Valence	34:26 ✺
20.09.24	Pontault-Combault - Caen	29:29 ✺
14.09.24	Caen - Sarrebourg	31:25 ✺
Coupe de France Handball
04.09.24	Caen - Chartres	30:34 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWTWL
- Nancy MHB
French Proligue Handball
04.10.24	Nancy - Dijon	34:37 ✺
27.09.24	Nancy - Sarrebourg	35:33 ✺
20.09.24	Frontignan Thau - Nancy	41:34 ✺
13.09.24	Nancy - Pau Billère	34:29 ✺
07.09.24	Valence - Nancy	35:29 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Proligue Handball
11.02.24	Caen - Nancy	27:21
20.10.23	Nancy - Caen	28:22
10.02.23	Caen - Nancy	35:27
22.09.22	Nancy - Caen	31:35

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