Match Info

Liga ASOBAL - Round 25

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Morrazo Cangas		Villa de Aranda

	1	X	2
	1.8	8	2.6
	1.72	7.8	2.55
	1.66	7.71	2.73	Watch
	1.73	7.5	2.5
	1.75	8.8	2.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.9)	7.96 ↓ (8.53)	2.58 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Morrazo Cangas
52.9%

Draw
11.5%

Villa de Aranda
35.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.4%

10.8%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.8%

10.4%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Morrazo Cangas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Villa de Aranda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Villa de Aranda might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Morrazo Cangas than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Morrazo Cangas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villa de Aranda than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villa de Aranda could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Cangas will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

#ad

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Liga ASOBAL (Relegation) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cangas won 1.

Cangas has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Villa de Aranda has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cangas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cangas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Cangas won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 465:460. (average 27.4:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cangas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 222:210. (average 27.8:26.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
14	Villa de Aranda	4	0	1	3	109:131	1
15	Morrazo Cangas	4	0	0	4	134:144	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Morrazo Cangas
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
11.04.26	Atlético Valladolid - Morrazo Cangas	29:23 ✺
05.04.26	Morrazo Cangas - EÓN Alicante	28:25 ✺
28.03.26	Naturhouse La Rioja - Morrazo Cangas	33:26 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
25.03.26	Anaitasuna - Morrazo Cangas	34:29 ✺
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
14.03.26	Morrazo Cangas - Torrelavega	28:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL
- Villa de Aranda
Spanish Liga ASOBAL
12.04.26	Villa de Aranda - BM Ciudad Encantada	33:23 ✺
05.04.26	Villa de Aranda - Atlético Valladolid	33:29 ✺
28.03.26	EÓN Alicante - Villa de Aranda	33:31 ✺
15.03.26	Villa de Aranda - Naturhouse La Rioja	26:35 ✺
08.03.26	Torrelavega - Villa de Aranda	28:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga ASOBAL
22.11.25	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	28:25
02.03.25	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	29:27
06.10.24	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	27:24
27.02.21	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	23:24
19.09.20	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	22:22
29.04.17	Villa de Aranda - Morrazo Cangas	28:31
Spanish Copa del Rey Handball
18.03.17	Morrazo Cangas - Villa de Aranda	26:22

Upcoming Matches