Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Play Offs - Final

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Zlatorog Arena (Celje)


	Celje Pivovarna Laško		Slovan Ljubljana

	1	X	2
	1.48	7.8	3.4	Watch
	1.44	7.99	3.53	Watch
	1.5	9	2.88
	1.5	9.3	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.8)	8.52 ↑ (7)	3.26 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 65.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje Pivovarna Laško
61.4%

Draw
10.7%

Slovan Ljubljana
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

12.9%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

12.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje Pivovarna Laško has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Celje Pivovarna Laško's performance.

Slovan Ljubljana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Slovan Ljubljana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje Pivovarna Laško than the current prediction. (-13.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje Pivovarna Laško that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovan Ljubljana than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Slovan Ljubljana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovan Ljubljana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:32

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Preview

Celje leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celje won 2.

In recent matches, Celje has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Slovan is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Slovan may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Slovan has had a series of home games.

Celje could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Celje won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 460:402. (average 32.9:28.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Celje won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 240:205. (average 34.3:29.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
1	Slovan	7	6	0	1	244:185	12
4	Celje	6	4	0	2	206:182	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celje Pivovarna Laško
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
27.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Celje Pivovarna Laško	38:42 ✺
23.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	37:35 ✺
09.05.26	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	31:30 ✺
06.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	41:36 ✺
EHF European Cup
02.05.26	Ohrid - Celje Pivovarna Laško	29:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWLWL
- RD Slovan Ljubljana
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
27.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Celje Pivovarna Laško	38:42 ✺
09.05.26	Trimo Trebnje - Slovan Ljubljana	30:31 ✺
06.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Trimo Trebnje	37:36 ✺
29.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Gorenje Velenje	35:25 ✺
24.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Škofja Loka	48:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
27.05.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Celje Pivovarna Laško	38:42
Slovenian Cup Handball
17.04.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovan Ljubljana	35:34 penalties
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
13.12.25	Slovan Ljubljana - Celje Pivovarna Laško	34:31
26.09.25	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovan Ljubljana	29:31
22.02.25	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovan Ljubljana	29:30
23.10.24	Slovan Ljubljana - Celje Pivovarna Laško	23:23
25.04.24	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovan Ljubljana	27:32

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