Match Info

1. NLB Liga - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Zlatorog Arena (Celje)


	Celje Pivovarna Laško		Slovenj Gradec

	1	X	2
	1.3	8.8	4.7
	1.26	8.8	5.06	Watch
	1.29	10	4
	1.33	9.5	4.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.33)	9.28 ↓ (9.5)	4.46 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 64.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Celje Pivovarna Laško
69.9%

Draw
9.8%

Slovenj Gradec
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.3%

9.6%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

8.9%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Celje Pivovarna Laško has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Slovenj Gradec has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Celje Pivovarna Laško than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Celje Pivovarna Laško that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovenj Gradec than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Celje will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 34:30

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Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Celje won 2.

Celje has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Slovenj Gradec is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Celje is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Celje won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 554:461. (average 32.6:27.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Celje won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 287:230. (average 35.9:28.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
4	Celje	6	4	0	2	206:182	8
7	Slovenj Gradec	6	2	2	2	174:168	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Celje Pivovarna Laško
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
09.05.26	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	31:30 ✺
06.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	41:36 ✺
EHF European Cup
02.05.26	Ohrid - Celje Pivovarna Laško	29:27 ✺
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
29.04.26	Trimo Trebnje - Celje Pivovarna Laško	39:38 ✺
EHF European Cup
25.04.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Ohrid	27:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLLW
- RK Slovenj Gradec 2011
Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
09.05.26	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	31:30 ✺
06.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	41:36 ✺
30.04.26	Slovenj Gradec - Škofja Loka	36:34 ✺
24.04.26	Gorenje Velenje - Slovenj Gradec	29:34 ✺
Slovenian Cup Handball
18.04.26	Slovan Ljubljana - Slovenj Gradec	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Slovenian 1 NLB Liga Handball
09.05.26	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	31:30
06.05.26	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	41:36
06.12.25	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	37:36
20.09.25	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	26:26
11.04.25	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	27:27
15.02.25	Slovenj Gradec - Celje Pivovarna Laško	23:26
16.10.24	Celje Pivovarna Laško - Slovenj Gradec	33:27

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