Match Info

SPAIN: Division de Honor Plata - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday


	EÓN Alicante		Burgos

	1	X	2
	1.57	9	2.85
	1.54	8.79	3.08	Watch
	1.6	9	2.7
	1.58	7.9	2.99
	1.57	9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (2.26)	8.74 ↓ (9.05)	2.89 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 57.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EÓN Alicante
58%

Draw
10.4%

Burgos
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

10.1%

49.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

9.7%

47.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EÓN Alicante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in EÓN Alicante's performance.

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Burgos might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EÓN Alicante than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with EÓN Alicante that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (+15.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Burgos could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

EÓN Alicante - Burgos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:28

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting Alicante won 1.

Sporting Alicante is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Burgos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Burgos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sporting Alicante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 170:196 (average 28.3:32.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting Alicante won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 98:94 (average 32.7:31.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Balonmano EÓN Alicante
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
14.12.24	Agustinos Alicante - EÓN Alicante	29:36 ✺
08.12.24	EÓN Alicante - Barcelona II	29:29 ✺
30.11.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - EÓN Alicante	34:31 ✺
24.11.24	EÓN Alicante - Atlético Novás	36:24 ✺
16.11.24	Antequera - EÓN Alicante	31:32 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLWW
- BM Burgos
Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
15.12.24	Burgos - Lanzarote	38:30 ✺
07.12.24	Cisne - Burgos	25:25 ✺
30.11.24	Agustinos Alicante - Burgos	34:31 ✺
24.11.24	Burgos - Barcelona II	31:33 ✺
17.11.24	Caserio Ciudad Real - Burgos	25:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Division de Honor Plata Handball
14.04.24	Burgos - EÓN Alicante	27:25
02.12.23	EÓN Alicante - Burgos	30:33
30.04.22	EÓN Alicante - Burgos	35:34
13.03.22	Burgos - EÓN Alicante	37:23
20.02.21	Burgos - EÓN Alicante	38:24
22.11.20	EÓN Alicante - Burgos	33:27

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