The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
GWD Minden 44.4%
Draw 12.5%
Bergischer 43.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.5%
11.7%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45%
10.9%
43%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
GWD Minden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
Bergischer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for GWD Minden than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bergischer than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
10%
10%
80%
GWD Minden - Bergischer Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Minden will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Bergischer will win (votes: 8 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bergischer: 55.2% – 100%.
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Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minden won 1.
Recent form of Minden has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Bergischer's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minden won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 556:565. (average 27.8:28.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Minden won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 248:255. (average 27.6:28.3).