Match Info

European Cup Women - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday


	Elche		Mecalia Atletico Guardes

	1	X	2
	1.75	8.2	2.4
	5.09	9.28	1.26	Watch
	1.75	8.2	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (1.75)	8.56 ↑ (8)	2.04 ↓ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elche
36.5%

Draw
12.2%

Mecalia Atletico Guardes
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

11.4%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

12.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Elche's form might have worsened.

Mecalia Atletico Guardes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mecalia Atletico Guardes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elche than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Elche, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mecalia Atletico Guardes than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mecalia Atletico Guardes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

First leg result: 20-21. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Elche won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Elche has had a series of away games.

Elche could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Elche won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 443:456. (average 22.2:22.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Elche won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 216:201. (average 24:22.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elche Mustang
EHF European Cup Women
21.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	21:20 ✺
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
14.03.26	Rocasa Gran Canaria ACE - Elche	24:19 ✺
28.02.26	Elda Prestigia - Elche	21:22 ✺
21.02.26	Elche - Porriño	22:18 ✺
15.02.26	Aula Valladolid - Elche	20:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWWT
- Mecalia Atletico Guardes
EHF European Cup Women
21.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	21:20 ✺
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
15.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	18:27 ✺
10.03.26	Beti Onak - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:19 ✺
28.02.26	Aula Valladolid - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:26 ✺
22.02.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	19:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

EHF European Cup Women
21.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	21:20
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
12.11.25	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	20:17
25.05.25	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	23:20
21.05.25	Elche - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	26:22
02.04.25	Elche - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	18:20
12.11.24	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elche	23:20
23.03.24	Elche - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	31:23

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