Match Info

Division de Honor Women - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday


	Mecalia Atletico Guardes		Porriño

	1	X	2
	1.35	9.5	3.8
	1.35	9.39	3.76	Watch
	1.33	8.5	4
	1.36	8.5	4.08
	1.38	8.75	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.36)	8.93 ↓ (9.02)	3.95 ↑ (3.92)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mecalia Atletico Guardes
66.9%

Draw
10.1%

Porriño
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

10.1%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

9.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mecalia Atletico Guardes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Porriño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mecalia Atletico Guardes than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Porriño than the current prediction. (+1%)

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Preview

First leg result: 25-25. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guardes won 2.

Recent performances by Guardes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Porriño is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Guardes may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Guardes is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guardes won 12 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 516:470. (average 25.8:23.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Guardes won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 243:218. (average 27:24.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Guardes W	5	4	1	0	122:94	9
10	Porrino W	5	2	0	3	103:121	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mecalia Atletico Guardes
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
29.04.26	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	25:25 ✺
EHF European Cup Women
25.04.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	26:23 ✺
19.04.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:26 ✺
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
15.04.26	Morvedre - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	23:23 ✺
04.04.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elda Prestigia	26:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TWWTL
- BM Porriño
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
29.04.26	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	25:25 ✺
18.04.26	Sporting La Rioja - Porriño	22:25 ✺
04.04.26	Porriño - BM Granollers	27:27 ✺
29.03.26	Lanzarote Zonzamas - Porriño	19:22 ✺
21.03.26	Porriño - Morvedre	29:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
29.04.26	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	25:25
15.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	18:27
02.11.25	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	21:25
20.04.25	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:23
28.12.24	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	26:22
28.04.24	Porriño - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	29:29
21.04.24	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Porriño	29:30

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