Match Info

European Cup Women - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Mecalia Atletico Guardes		Malaga Costa del Sol

	1	X	2
	1.59	8.2	2.85
	2.18	6.83	2.05	Watch
	1.57	8	2.75
	1.61	8.8	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)	7.96 ↓ (8.17)	2.63 ↓ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 46.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mecalia Atletico Guardes
53.2%

Draw
11.6%

Malaga Costa del Sol
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.8%

11.1%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

10.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mecalia Atletico Guardes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Malaga Costa del Sol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mecalia Atletico Guardes than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mecalia Atletico Guardes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Malaga Costa del Sol than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:22

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Preview

First leg result: 26-24. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guardes won 4.

Guardes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Malaga has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guardes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guardes won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 492:505. (average 24.6:25.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Guardes won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 236:254. (average 23.6:25.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mecalia Atletico Guardes
EHF European Cup Women
19.04.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:26 ✺
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
15.04.26	Morvedre - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	23:23 ✺
04.04.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Elda Prestigia	26:27 ✺
31.03.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Rocasa Gran Canaria ACE	25:21 ✺
EHF European Cup Women
28.03.26	Elche - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	20:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WTLWT
- BF Malaga Costa del Sol
EHF European Cup Women
19.04.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:26 ✺
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
14.04.26	San Jose Obrero - Malaga Costa del Sol	26:21 ✺
04.04.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Bera Bera	25:26 ✺
01.04.26	Sporting La Rioja - Malaga Costa del Sol	21:20 ✺
EHF European Cup Women
29.03.26	Sokol Lázně Kynžvart - Malaga Costa del Sol	20:23
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

EHF European Cup Women
19.04.26	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	24:26
Spanish División de Honor Handball Women
22.02.26	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	19:25
25.10.25	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	23:24
05.04.25	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	23:22
20.12.24	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	21:26
09.03.24	Malaga Costa del Sol - Mecalia Atletico Guardes	35:29
01.11.23	Mecalia Atletico Guardes - Malaga Costa del Sol	27:28

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