The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Emsdetten 45.5%
Draw 11.3%
Bayer Dormagen 43.2%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
52.9%
9.7%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
9.4%
39.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emsdetten has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Emsdetten's form might have worsened.
Bayer Dormagen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bayer Dormagen's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Emsdetten than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Emsdetten, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Dormagen than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Emsdetten - Bayer Dormagen Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emsdetten won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Emsdetten (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Bayer Dormagen shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Emsdetten may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Emsdetten is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head meetings, Emsdetten has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 245:262 (averaging 27.2:29.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Emsdetten against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 140:152 goals (averaging 28:30.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Pts
8
Dormagen
9
5
0
4
262:281
10
15
Emsdetten
10
2
1
7
299:316
5
Last Results with these Odds
Bayer Dormagen - the odds 2.44 are the expected chance of winning is 37.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.