Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 31

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday


	Erlangen		Gummersbach

	1	X	2
	5	10	1.32
	3.2	9	1.53
	4.1	10	1.32
	4.35	8.39	1.34	Watch
	4.33	9	1.3
	4.13	10	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.19 ↑ (3.26)	9.4 ↑ (9.23)	1.36 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Erlangen
22.1%

Draw
9.8%

Gummersbach
68%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.9%

9.8%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

9.9%

61.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Erlangen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Erlangen's form might have worsened.

Gummersbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gummersbach's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erlangen than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Erlangen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gummersbach than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gummersbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Erlangen - Gummersbach Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Gummersbach (1.68) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Gummersbach (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:31

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ European League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 0.

Erlangen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gummersbach is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Gummersbach is seen as the favorite.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Erlangen won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 455:472. (average 26.8:27.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Erlangen won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 223:227. (average 27.9:28.4).

Outrights of German Bundesliga Handball for now

Erlangen: 0.82%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
9	Gummersbach	7	3	1	3	221:215	7
10	Erlangen	7	3	1	3	209:208	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Erlangen
German Bundesliga Handball
30.04.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Erlangen	30:29 ✺
25.04.26	Erlangen - HSV Hamburg	23:31 ✺
12.04.26	Magdeburg - Erlangen	35:31 ✺
05.04.26	Erlangen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	29:27 ✺
29.03.26	Frisch Auf Göppingen - Erlangen	27:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LLLWL
- VfL Gummersbach
German Bundesliga Handball
30.04.26	Gummersbach - Frisch Auf Göppingen	29:29 ✺
23.04.26	Füchse Berlin - Gummersbach	28:26 ✺
16.04.26	SC DHfK Leipzig - Gummersbach	31:37 ✺
11.04.26	Gummersbach - HSG Wetzlar	32:24 ✺
02.04.26	Bergischer - Gummersbach	30:39 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga Handball
09.10.25	Gummersbach - Erlangen	33:22
22.03.25	Erlangen - Gummersbach	24:31
08.12.24	Gummersbach - Erlangen	28:24
German DHB Pokal
02.10.24	Erlangen - Gummersbach	27:28
German Bundesliga Handball
31.03.24	Erlangen - Gummersbach	31:34
28.09.23	Gummersbach - Erlangen	33:28
07.05.23	Gummersbach - Erlangen	32:31

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