Match Info

Champions League - Preliminary - Round 3

Date: 8 October 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport 3
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 2
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	EHF TV
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Sports 1
Hungary	Sport 1
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Polsat Sport 3
Slovakia	Voyo


	MT Melsungen		HBC Nantes

	1	X	2
	2.15	8	2.15	Watch
	2.10	6.75	2.05
	1.95	7	2.05
	2.17	7	2.17	Watch
	2	7.5	2.15
	2.16	8.95	2.14	Watch
	2.13	7.8	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.8)	7.57 ↓ (9)	2.12 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 58.50

The most likely Handicap: (0)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

MT Melsungen
44.1%

Draw
12.2%

HBC Nantes
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

10.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

10.1%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MT Melsungen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MT Melsungen's form might have worsened.

HBC Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HBC Nantes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MT Melsungen than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MT Melsungen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for HBC Nantes than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HBC Nantes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	20%	60%

MT Melsungen - HBC Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Melsungen will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Nantes will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 59.5, OT - under (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 29:29

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Preview

Melsungen has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Nantes shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MT Melsungen
German Bundesliga Handball
03.10.26	MT Melsungen - Hannover-Burgdorf	28:22 ✺
26.09.26	Rhein-Neckar Löwen - MT Melsungen	30:28 ✺
German DHB Pokal
22.09.26	MT Melsungen - Rhein-Neckar Löwen	35:33 OT ✺
German Bundesliga Handball
20.09.26	MT Melsungen - Magdeburg	37:34 ✺
EHF Champions League
17.09.26	Wisła Płock - MT Melsungen	25:24 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWWL
- HBC Nantes
French Starligue Handball
03.10.26	Dunkerque - HBC Nantes	24:31 ✺
27.09.26	HBC Nantes - Fenix Toulouse	29:30 ✺
20.09.26	Montpellier HB - HBC Nantes	31:36 ✺
EHF Champions League
16.09.26	Vardar - HBC Nantes	32:33 ✺
French Starligue Handball
12.09.26	HBC Nantes - Pays dAix	38:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWWW

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