Match Info

European League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 1 April 2025, Tuesday

Location: Palais des Sports André Brouat (Toulouse)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Fenix Toulouse		Porto

	1	X	2
	1.85	8	2.4
	2	9.25	2.1
	1.82	8.2	2.34	Watch
	1.86	8.12	2.42
	2.15	8	1.95
	1.87	8.2	2.39
	1.82	8.2	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.71)	8.28 ↑ (8.27)	2.28 ↓ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fenix Toulouse
48.3%

Draw
11.1%

Porto
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

11%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

10.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Fenix Toulouse - Porto Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Porto will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:32

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Lineups


13. Diallo B.	12. Abrahamsson S.
21. Discamps M.	86. Brandao R.
6. Doniecki A.	19. Diocou M.
4. Feuchtmann Er.	21. Fernandes L.
2. Giraudeau R.	8. Fernandez D.
7. Jarry T.	28. Ferreira J.
14. Kall C.	5. Gunnarsson T.
11. Kempf E.	88. Magalhaes F.
17. Kojadinovic U.	24. Martinez A.
1. Lettens J.	10. Oliveira D.
8. Marmier M.	9. Oliveira M.
55. Mindegia N.	71. Oliveira P.
15. Mitrovic U.	33. Rema D.
12. Moller S.	15. Salina D.
5. Nyembo G.	14. Sousa R.
9. Robert J.	2. Veitia P.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 28-35.

Recent matches Toulouse is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Porto in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Porto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Porto have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 28:35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
28.03.25	Fenix Toulouse - Cesson Rennes Métropole	33:27 ✺
EHF European League
25.03.25	Porto - Fenix Toulouse	35:28 ✺
French Starligue Handball
20.03.25	Tremblay - Fenix Toulouse	31:25 ✺
08.03.25	Fenix Toulouse - Chartres	31:30 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	Tatabanya - Fenix Toulouse	31:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWW
- FC Porto Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
28.03.25	Marítimo - Porto	29:36 ✺
EHF European League
25.03.25	Porto - Fenix Toulouse	35:28 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
08.03.25	Avanca - Porto	19:37 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	RK Vojvodina - Porto	30:38 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
01.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	30:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

EHF European League
25.03.25	Porto - Fenix Toulouse	35:28

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