Match Info

EUROPE: European League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 25 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Pavilhão Dragão Arena (Porto)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Porto		Fenix Toulouse

	1	X	2
	1.5	8.5	3
	1.53	8.75	3.2
	1.51	9	3.1	Watch
	1.53	8.89	3.1
	1.5	9	3.1
	1.51	8.7	3.36
	1.51	9	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.64)	8.83 ↑ (8.65)	3.14 ↑ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 61.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Porto
60.5%

Draw
10.4%

Fenix Toulouse
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.8%

10.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

10.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Fenix Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Porto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fenix Toulouse than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Porto - Fenix Toulouse Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Lineups


12. Abrahamsson S.	61. Belkaied Y.
86. Brandao R.	13. Diallo B.
19. Diocou M.	21. Discamps M.
21. Fernandes L.	6. Doniecki A.
8. Fernandez D.	4. Feuchtmann Er.
28. Ferreira J.	2. Giraudeau R.
5. Gunnarsson T.	7. Jarry T.
88. Magalhaes F.	14. Kall C.
24. Martinez A.	11. Kempf E.
10. Oliveira D.	17. Kojadinovic U.
71. Oliveira P.	1. Lettens J.
33. Rema D.	8. Marmier M.
15. Salina D.	55. Mindegia N.
23. Sousa B.	15. Mitrovic U.
14. Sousa R.	5. Nyembo G.
2. Veitia P.	9. Robert J.

Preview

1st leg.

Porto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Toulouse is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Toulouse could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Porto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Porto Handball
Portuguese Andebol 1
08.03.25	Avanca - Porto	19:37 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	RK Vojvodina - Porto	30:38 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
01.03.25	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	30:30 ✺
EHF European League
25.02.25	Porto - THW Kiel	30:35 ✺
Portuguese Andebol 1
22.02.25	Porto - Marítimo	39:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWTLW
- Fenix Toulouse
French Starligue Handball
20.03.25	Tremblay - Fenix Toulouse	31:25 ✺
08.03.25	Fenix Toulouse - Chartres	31:30 ✺
EHF European League
04.03.25	Tatabanya - Fenix Toulouse	31:33 ✺
French Starligue Handball
28.02.25	Chambery SH - Fenix Toulouse	29:25 ✺
EHF European League
25.02.25	Fenix Toulouse - Flensburg-Handewitt	35:35 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWLT

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