Match Info

HLA - Round 16

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Ferlach		Tirol

	1	X	2
	1.83	7.6	2.37
	1.82	6.91	2.48	Watch
	1.8	8	2.25
	1.85	8.6	2.33	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.77)	7.78 ↑ (6.84)	2.36 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 62.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferlach
49.8%

Draw
11.7%

Tirol
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

13%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferlach has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Tirol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Ferlach - Tirol Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:30

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 3.

In recent matches, Tirol has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferlach may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ferlach won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 542:582. (average 27.1:29.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ferlach won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 257:261. (average 28.6:29).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
2	Ferlach	5	3	2	0	150:137	8
3	Handball Tirol	5	4	0	1	152:149	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Ferlach
Austrian NLA Handball
28.02.26	Krems - Ferlach	33:23 ✺
21.02.26	Hollabrunn - Ferlach	30:24 ✺
14.02.26	Ferlach - Alpla Hard	33:28 ✺
07.02.26	Füchse - Ferlach	31:33 ✺
29.11.25	Bärnbach Köflach - Ferlach	29:25 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LLWWL
- Handball Tirol
Austrian NLA Handball
28.02.26	Tirol - Alpla Hard	28:33 ✺
21.02.26	Füchse - Tirol	34:30 ✺
Austrian OHB Cup
18.02.26	HSG Graz - Tirol	37:39 ✺
Austrian NLA Handball
14.02.26	Tirol - Bärnbach Köflach	28:26 ✺
07.02.26	Linz - Tirol	37:31 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian NLA Handball
04.10.25	Tirol - Ferlach	33:34
01.03.25	Tirol - Ferlach	29:30
12.10.24	Ferlach - Tirol	30:29
09.03.24	Tirol - Ferlach	31:25
27.10.23	Ferlach - Tirol	34:37
14.04.23	Tirol - Ferlach	30:21
25.11.22	Ferlach - Tirol	32:29

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