The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
HSG Graz 49.1%
Draw 11.5%
Ferlach 39.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53%
12.6%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.4%
12.5%
34.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HSG Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Ferlach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferlach's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HSG Graz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferlach than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ferlach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
HSG Graz - Ferlach Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 31:31
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HSG Graz won 3.
In recent outings, HSG Graz has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Ferlach is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Ferlach may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with HSG Graz holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, HSG Graz has recorded 8 wins, 1 draw, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 561:578 (averaging 28.1:28.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for HSG Graz against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 304:285 goals (averaging 30.4:28.5 per game).
Watch
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